Wednesday, January 17, 2024

GIMME THAT OLD TIME RELIGION!


It finally came on the eve of the Iowa caucuses.  A video emanating from the Trump camp claimed that God had sent Trump as his “caretaker” to manage the nation and the world; Trump is now a fully equipped crackpot American politician with his monstrous deal-doing ego supplemented with a solemn Messianic mission - to the evangelicals he is obviously unbeatable. Praise the Lord!

We have seen it all before. In 1925, populist 3-times presidential candidate William Jennings Bryan denounced the teaching of evolution in the famous Scopes trial in Dayton, Tennessee. Bryan was badly mauled under cross-examination and died shortly after the trial. H L Mencken summed it all up with characteristic verve.:

W J Bryan

One day the defence lured Bryan into his astounding argument against the notion that man is a mammal. I am glad I heard it, for otherwise I’d never believe it. There stood a man who had been thrice a candidate for the Presidency of the Republic, uttering stuff a boy of eight would laugh at….He came into life a hero, a Galahad, in bright and shining armour. He was passing out a poor mountebank.

May the same fate overwhelm Donald C Trump!

Religiosity (excessive religiousness) is one of the most off-putting facets in American life to the British and European cast of mind. We have mostly moved forward from defining our lives in religious terms, some generations ago.

Billy Graham (1918-2018) was a hugely successful US Southern Baptist evangelist who thrived mainly in the 1950s -70s. He filled stadia, ran crusades and preached cooperation. He was certainly a talented orator and he made friends with the good and the great. Eisenhower, Lyndon Johnson and maybe surprisingly Richard Nixon hung by his words and sought his counsel.  


Billy Graham

He was followed by a variety of black preachers, notably esteemed Martin Luther King, and Al Sharpton is still around, agitating at the first sign of trouble.

Britain has a tradition of sorts notably on the Celtic fringes, Ireland has long been a religious hotbed (some of this reflected in Joe Biden’s stubborn Anglophobia) and Ulster sported the anachronistic figure of the Rev Ian Paisley – ye shall hate idolators with an undying hate, he bellowed, although he mellowed later when he was forced to share power genially with “reformed” IRA gunman Martin MacGuinness. Scotland long had a bitter Protestant/Catholic divide but our current first minister Humza Yousaf seems most engrossed in the Palestinian cause. He is Scottish-born, raised as a Catholic but converted to Islam in 1977. His rival in the SNP, Kate Forbes, is a talented Gaelic-speaking 33-year-old, who has been finance minister. She is an adherent of the Wee Free Church, with only about 10,000 members, opposed to same-sex marriage and generally Puritanical and socially highly conservative. Karl Marx got much wrong but he was surely right in saying; Religion is the Opium of the People.


SNP's Kate Forbes

        

Moving on to terra firma from these ghostly matters, I have been puzzled by the differences between London attitudes and those of England more widely. Much of the difference derives from ethnic background. The London ethnic split according to the 2021 census is:

White British    36.8

Other White      17.0                 53.8%

Asian British    20.8

Black British     13.5

Mixed race       5.7

Other                 6.2                 46.2%

Note that White British are far from a majority even in their capital city.

Much more representative are the statistics for England and Wales from the same census.

White British    74.4

Other White      6.2                  80.6%

Asian British    9.3

Black British    4.0

Mixed race       2.9

Other               3.2                  19.4%

 

Viewed nationally, White British are in a substantial majority, as one might expect.

Last night I watched quiz night on BBC 2 (the BBC being reliably cutting edge on the betrayal of our country in my view). I enjoyed Mastermind, Only Connect and University Challenge compered skillfully by Clive Myrie, Victoria Coren Mitchell and Amol Rajan. These three are excellent and I am all for a meritocracy in broadcasting.

Yet I felt there was an elephant in the room. Let’s have Diversity but where are the Englishmen, the John Bull - Toby Jug- pub dartboard – Morris dancing Englishmen? Remember that statistic above, 74.4% no less. They may not be hugely talented in global terms but they deserve better in their own country than sink schools, useless public services, poor healthcare and crime-ridden streets. Let there be positive discrimination on their behalf, proper preparation for the world of work, a welcome to our better universities and their opportunities, the prospect of a decently paid career.

It is not too much to ask if we put our minds to it!

 

SMD

16.1.24

Text Copyright Sidney Donald 2024

Wednesday, January 10, 2024

LADIES FIRST

 

I tip-toe around this subject, as I have no wish to revive the battle of the sexes, and anyhow, half the world’s population is female and we all know how wonderful and talented most of them are.

From Cleopatra to the Hapsburg Empress Elizabeth (“Sissi”) and to Queen Victoria, ladies have enchanted and inspired us men, but it is only relatively recently that they have actually been in charge of affairs. We remember our past admiration for Golda Meir, Indira Gandhi, Benazir Bhutto and above all our revered idol Maggie Thatcher, who saved the UK



                         Romy Schneider as Sissi (1955)

But there has been a noticeable decline in wholly positive vibes in more recent years. Starting at the top in the UK, the esteemed Elizabeth II’s female successors include Charles’ Queen Camilla, Princess Kate and Andrew’s Duchess Fergie. All of them carry past baggage of varying weight and I cannot see the population warming to them easily.

 Some recent figures have been much more controversial. I am thinking of Angela Merkel (too tolerant of Russia), Liz Truss (a 30-day disaster), Hilary Clinton (losing even to Trump), Nicola Sturgeon (resigning as first Minister of Scotland in murky circumstances) and Jacinda Arden (New Zealand’s Queen of Woke). It is perhaps too early to take a dogmatic line - History will judge.

There are plenty aspiring ladies in the UK – Penny Mordaunt, Kemi Badenoch for the Tories, Angela Raynor and Rachel Reeves for Labour, not to mention US Presidential hopeful Nikki Hayley. But these people have not really been tested in very high office and only then can we judge their mettle.

The fact is that several high-flying ladies in the UK and US have come down with a bump recently:

1.       Alison Rose, Chief Executive of NatWest Bank. She broke her bank’s first requirement for client confidentiality by babbling to a reporter about the “de-banking” of right-wing politician Nigel Farage. Maybe her actions were animated by a compound of arrogance and political bias but Farage raised a stink and Rose lost her job.

 

2.       Paula Vennells, once head of the UK Post Office who presided over a grave miscarriage of justice affecting more than 700 employed as sub postmaster/postmistresses often in small town or village locations. The Post Office introduced in the late 1990s a new computer system bought from Fujitsu called Horizon. The cash would not balance in some cases, but the PO insisted there was nothing wrong and prosecuted many sub-postmasters with theft. Some suffered imprisonment, all lost their jobs and reputations. By 2010, it was discovered that Horizon had a computer glitch causing the imbalance. Quite when the PO management knew this, what they did about it, and how and when they advised ministers is not clear. Vennells has returned her CBE and apologised but that will hardly be enough. The luckless taxpayer will have to bear very high costs and the present Tory government has proposed a £600,000 compensation payment each to those affected. Senior PO officials and Fujitsu are being implicated, and in a delicious twist, LibDem leader, holier-than-thou Sir Ed Davey, is facing calls to resign. He was the Minister for Posts for 2 years and predictably did precisely nothing. Watch this space!

 

3.       Sharon White. Ended her term as chief executive of John Lewis, of department store and supermarket (Waitrose) fame. She is blamed for poor performance in an admittedly difficult sector, but critics say she drove a cherished brand into the ground with her misjudged policies.

 

4.       Claudine Gay. Appointed President of Harvard 5 months ago, she has been accused of several cases of academic plagiarism. Then she gave evasive evidence, along with the presidents of MIT and the University of Pennsylvania, to a congressional committee about campus antisemitism. They refused to condemn calls for the genocide of the Jews, to public outrage. All 3 presidents have now had to resign. In her resignation statement, Gay airily stated she would return to her old academic duties at Harvard. The US has some peculiar rules about academic tenure and entitlement, but Gay has done serious damage to Harvard’s reputation.  I expect the new President of Harvard to throw her out on her ear.

 

What do these 4 cases prove? We may feel some unworthy Schadenfreude (pleasure at the misfortune of others) but that is inappropriate. 


Alison Rose

    

                                                       Claudine Gay

These cases simply prove that Women are as prone to error and misjudgment as Men. To that extent we are all truly equal (at least in the West), which is the conclusion we want to proclaim.

Don’t worry, Ladies, we love you more than ever!

 

SMD

10.01.24

Sunday, January 7, 2024

 

A Rosy Crystal Ball

I thought it would be appropriate to take a positive forward view of 2024 and make some, maybe optimistic, political predictions. I do warn you that I do not have a spotless record as a prophet (I thought Boris’ first ministry would last for years) and you, my dear readers, will have their own ideas about the future. Anyway, I adopt the mantle of the soothsayers Nostradamus, Dr Faustus or is it, Cassandra?

1.       United Kingdom.

I expect the 2024 general election will be narrowly won by Labour. Efficient Sunak’s Tories will make some progress on the economy and immigration, but the electorate want change. Keir Starmer will become PM but he will be in an uneasy coalition with the swivel-eyed LibDems, constantly sniped at by the radical Left. Various other groups, SNP, Greens and Reform will make a nuisance of themselves. Starmer is a straight-forward lawyer but he is wooden, and completely lacks political nous or charisma.

The Tories will eventually re-align towards the centre, Right-wing ginger groups will wither as frankly Home Counties Tories are becoming apathetic. Rishi Sunak will not last long as, like Starmer he is worthy but not remotely inspirational. I guess he will be succeeded by Kemi Badenoch, a no-nonsense right-leaning lady of professional Nigerian parentage, but born in England. She has been an effective trade minister and is married to banker Hamish Badenoch (sounds Scottish but he actually hails from Northern Ireland). She will have many attractions for women, long-suffering committed Tories and first-generation immigrants.


Thoughtful Kemi Badenoch

2.       USA

The election that really matters is the American Presidential Election on Tuesday 5 November 2024. At present, everyone assumes it will be a dismal re-run of the 2020 election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. I do not believe either candidate will run. Joe Biden, is a very ordinary machine politician who has never uttered a memorable word in his life. Soon his family and confidantes will have a quiet word with Sleepy Joe and tactfully tell him he is much too old, long past his sell-by date, put him to bed and turn off the lights. Some brighter (a low bar) Democratic senator or governor will win the nomination.

Nor will Donald Trump be running. He faces business ruin, numerous law-suits and reputational disgrace, mainly emanating from his deplorable encouragement of the Capitol riot of January 2021. The Americans protect their Constitution and Trump went too far. Trumpism (Make America Great Again etc.) is strong among the red-necks and less educated in the electorate and the Republicans will win having nominate the likes of Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida, who would be infinitely preferable to the ghastly Trump himself.

 



Ron DeSantis, a better man

3.       European Union

The EU proceeds in its sclerotic and imperialistic way, divided, quarrelsome and far less potent than it should be. With Poland and Hungary out-of-step it needs major reform. I foresee a 2-speed EU with the Slavs, Greeks and maybe Iberians in the slow lane. The initiative will move to France, Germany, Benelux, Italy, Austria, Denmark and Sweden who will speed up decision making, crucially integrate their economies and create a comprehensive banking system. Those with strong economies will make the EU a power-house again. The rest will toddle about to their own agendas, some may be admitted to the stronger group after a generation.

4.       The Rest of the World

One can only look with sadness at the mess in Ukraine, Gaza and the Middle East generally – predictions are beyond me. No doubt India, China and Japan will prosper (I do not think China will dare invade Taiwan). For most people all these issues pass them by, and in the time-honoured fairy-tale phrase - May they live happily ever after!

 

SMD

O7.01.24

Text copyright © Sidney Donald 2024