Saturday, October 20, 2012

BRITAIN AND EUROPE - THE CLOUDS BREAK




After a long period of shilly-shallying, the Conservatives appear to be moving towards taking some concrete action to allay deep public concern about Europe. John Redwood has long joined the Bill Cash euro-sceptic camp; David Davis has vocally complained about European interference: Michael Gove has electrified the debate by stating he would vote to leave were there to be a referendum now. Theresa May is producing a list of powers that should be repatriated. Crucially David Cameron is proposing a new association for Britain within the EU, followed probably by a referendum. This vital issue is at last being clarified.

Metternich, the arch-priest of absolutism, told the Duke of Wellington in 1824 “C’est depuis longtemps que L’Europe a pris pour moi la valeur d’une patrie” and Winston Churchill in opposition in 1946 tearfully called for “some kind of United States of Europe”, though he excluded Britain and the Commonwealth. De Gaulle favoured “L’Europe des patries”, with no fading of the grandeur of France. So there is more than one blueprint for Europe. The current version is for “an ever closer union” – a single market (almost achieved) a banking union (work in progress) a fiscal union (coming soon in the eurozone) and eventual political union (an inevitable consequence). It is this “direction of travel” which so alarms Britain.

The EU could retort that this direction was already evident when Britain acceded to the EEC in 1973, which is partly true but was effectively concealed by our politicians. The momentum of change and development of the EU has swept Britain along. Margaret Thatcher kicked against the pricks and lost the leadership. Some opt-outs were negotiated, the eurozone was avoided but really a more decisive choice is required.

The eurozone crisis has revealed the true nature of the EU. I spend many months annually in Greece. Over the last 3 years Greece has been mercilessly squeezed by the EU, ECB and IMF to abide by a policy of comprehensive austerity, of doubtful economic wisdom from the start and clearly unsuccessful now. It suits Northern Europe to stop Greece leaving the euro, to implant its officials in Greek government departments and to turn Greece into a German colony. Of course many of Greece’s problems are self-inflicted, but Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Italy too are coming under German hegemony. A weak nation, and Britain has had its weak moments, faces an unpleasant fate in the modern EU.

The Dead Hand of Brussels: van Rompuy and Barroso
Most of the continental European countries are comfortable with each other – a Napoleonic legal system, a predisposition towards statist solutions, a high tolerance of bureaucracy and a protectionist cast of mind. Britain stands out like a sore thumb – outward-looking, market-orientated and an open society under the Common Law. It has its blemishes, but at least they are our blemishes. In the final analysis, continental Europe will not defy the diktats of Angela Merkel and Wolfgang Schauble. To think that Britain will do the same or can fit easily into a supra-national organisation run by uninspiring functionaries like Barroso, van Rompuy, Juncker, Rehn  and Draghi is to defy all logic and every lesson of history.

David Cameron is surely right to put this matter to the British people.  He wants to negotiate a revised status with the EU, which is a mountain to climb given the lack of goodwill towards Britain in Brussels. The 3 choices on the referendum ballot paper would presumably be:

  • To stay in the EU as at present
  • To approve Cameron’s new negotiated deal within the EU
  • To leave the EU

I would have thought choices 2 or 3 would find most favour (maybe choice 1 will have become redundant). We all hope Cameron can pull off a sensible and supportable deal, and all strength to his elbow, but an EU exit must be a serious possibility. It is not just echoing a saloon bar rant or an overwrought feature in the Daily Mail to be convinced that the suggestion of “an ever closer union” with partners like Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande, Mario Monti or Mariano Rajoy would spark a robust reply from the British people in the immortal words of John McEnroe - “You cannot be serious!”


SMD
20.10.12

Text Copyright © Sidney Donald 2012





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