Saturday, June 16, 2018

COCK-EYED RELATIONS



No, this is not a piece about my highly eccentric great-aunts (that pleasure is for another day!) but rather a reaction to the peculiar affinities recently created in public life between unlikely mates. Some of these are so unlikely and exotic that I find myself rubbing my eyes and pinching myself to check that I have not carelessly strayed into a parallel universe.


Inevitably my first stop is Donald Trump, who despises every historic relationship forged by the USA since 1941 and substitutes his own to boost his insatiable egoism. Thus he, the President of the United States, beacon of democracy and freedom, rushes to Singapore to hobnob with Kim Jong Un, ruthless dictator of nuclear-armed, yet impoverished, North Korea, a pariah state since 1954.

Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump, the best of pals

The meeting might be worth it if Kim renounced nuclear weapons, freed political prisoners and eased his isolation – but none of this was forthcoming, other than vague promises. Trump announced, without consultation, that he would suspend US joint military exercises with South Korea – a coup for Kim, a blow to the South and a worry for Japan. Trump of course hailed this half-baked effort as a diplomatic triumph and an example of his matchless deal-making skills. Not in my book, Donald!

Trump upsets old friends at the G7

The flip-side of Trump is his careless ability to offend his friends. He is the heir to Harry Truman, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan but this tradition counts for nothing in Trump-land. He has embarked on a savage trade and tariff war, initially aimed at China, but since extended to the EU and his neighbours Canada and Mexico. Now many criticisms are possible of world trade imbalances, but negotiations are the way to resolve them not the sudden slapping-on of large tariffs. A tit-for-tat trade war looms damaging to the West, unlikely to save US rust-belt industries or promote stable growth. The US is economically strong and may prevail, but are these rational policies? Trump’s idiotic and undiplomatic tweets demonising Trudeau and slighting May, Merkel and Macron are in every respect self-defeating.

The Remainer Conspirators - Grieve, Soubry and Clarke

Odd bedfellows are also a feature of the Brexit struggle in the UK. Fanatical Remainers like Dominic Grieve (surely a linear descendent of Benedict Arnold) allied to ghastly and shrill Anne Soubry are both classic Tories by trade but now make common cause with the extremists of Jeremy Corbyn’s Momentum-driven Marxist Labour Party to derail Brexit at all turns. The UK electorate is sick to death with Brexit and have turned off from the nuances of the debate. It just wants Brexit to happen soon and irrevocably with Brussels, Germany and France removed from disturbing our front parlours. If that means a UK walk-out without an agreement, so be it. The first post-Brexit election will see a blood-bath of the smug Remainers, fully deserved.

In Europe itself radical discontent with European policies has spawned many odd populist alliances. Loony-left Greek Syriza works with nationalistic Independent Greeks: Hard right La Lega gets into bed with soft left Five-Star Movement in Italy: in Spain new Socialist Premier Sanchez will have to steer a course acceptable to anti-austerity Podemos, though Spain remains loyally European. Hostility towards EU immigrant quotas has animated cooperation between Poland’s Jaroslav Kaczynski and Hungary’s Victor Orban who resent what they see as the EU’s political meddling and instead advocate the classic Gaullist Europe des Patries as opposed to further unification. In truth ideologies have lost their magnetism, wider matters are sidelined and domestic issues set the agenda.

I suppose we should not be surprised if the certainties of 20 years ago fade away and new relationships take their place.  Politics evolve – the terms Left and Right no longer mean much while always in Yeats’ words “Things fall apart, the centre cannot hold”.


SMD
16.06.18 Text Copyright © Sidney Donald 2018

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